Poll: Trump gains on Clinton as race in Michigan tightens | Independent Newspapers Limited
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Poll: Trump gains on Clinton as race in Michigan tightens

Clinton; Trump
Posted: Nov 4, 2016 at 6:03 pm   /   by   /   comments (0)

Hillary Clinton is hanging onto a narrow 4-point lead over Donald Trump in Michigan heading into the last weekend before Tuesday’s election, with a new Detroit Free Press poll showing clear momentum for the Republican nominee in a state that several weeks ago was believed all but decided for the Democrat.

The poll, done exclusively for the Free Press by EPIC-MRA of Lansing, shows Clinton’s support steady at 42% — up a point from where it was late last month. But it also clearly shows Republicans and some independents rallying around Trump in the waning days of the campaign season, with his support up 4 points from two weeks ago to 38%.

Meanwhile, the number of undecided voters —13% — remains extraordinarily high for this late in an election cycle, speaking to the high unfavorable marks voters give both major-party candidates. Should they break for Trump on Election Day, it could be decisive, though with that high a number this late in the campaign it could indicate many will sit out this race altogether.

“Half of them I think are going to end up not going to the polls,” said EPIC-MRA pollster Bernie Porn. “A lot of them are not motivated to vote.” The new poll showed Trump’s surge of support not coming from undecided voters, but from those who had previously voiced support for Libertarian Gary Johnson. As the election approaches, Johnson’s support fell from 9 points two weeks ago to 5 points now.

EPIC-MRA surveyed 600 likely voters between Tuesday and Thursday for the poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. That means that while the poll showed a lead for Clinton in Michigan — which hasn’t turned for a Republican nominee for president since George H.W. Bush in 1988 — it could be in play.